Anticipating the Future: Understanding Matches and Mismatches between Future Narratives of Climate Change Adaptation and Housing
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2025-01-27
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en
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The urgent need to adapt to climate change and the environmental pressure resulting from the housing shortage in the Netherlands underscore the importance of understanding to what extent these issues are concurrently addressed. This insight is essential for effective policy making and addressing the transdisciplinary challenges of climate adaptation and housing provision. By studying how future narratives in the governance systems of climate change adaptation and housing create (mis)matches, this research aims to gain these insights. Future narratives, consisting of preferred futures and future assumptions, which are grounded in literature on anticipatory governance, the use of futures and the expected future are used as central concepts. The research strategy entails a case study, qualitative policy document analysis using Atlas.ti and semi-structured interviews with policy makers. Policy documents and policy makers are selected at the Dutch local level, within the municipality of Arnhem. The results show how future assumptions in preferred futures lead to various matches and mismatches between future narratives of housing and climate change adaptation. These (mis)matches can arise when divergent preferred futures are envisioned as when similar preferred futures considered. Matches as well as mismatches between both policy fields occur on various themes, yet no clear patterns emerge.
Keywords: transformative governance, governance system, future narrative, preferred future, future assumptions.
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Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen