Spatial System Dynamics: Building an Operational Crowd Management Model

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2025-07-17

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en

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Crowd events present unique and dynamic management challenges that demand real-time and operational support tools. This research investigates the feasibility of using spatial system dynamics (SD) to build an operational and real-time model for crowd management. A spatial SD model was developed and tested for the Vierdaagsefeesten (4DF) in the Netherlands by translating crowd management theory to SD and adding an element of spatial complexity. The model simulated key behaviour both at the macroscopic level of an event, and within parts of the event. Performance testing with the model explored trade-offs between spatial, temporal, and operational complexity. Although the model itself remains a proof of concept, the work stands as a practical guide for building integrative, operational, and real-time models using spatial SD.

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Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen