Political Culture in Post-Authoritarian Hybrid Regimes. How Does It Affect the Success of Opposition Parties in Elections?

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2022-06-24

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en

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The research attempts to answer how the political culture of an electorate affects incumbent turnover via elections in post-authoritarian competitive authoritarianism. The study hypothesizes that the undemocratic political culture of an electorate is negatively and significantly related to incumbent turnover through elections in post-authoritarian competitive authoritarianism. To test the hypothesis, a sample of 45 national elections is drawn. The relationship between the political culture and incumbent turnover is analyzed employing binary logistic regression. The analysis generates two main conclusions. First, the research fails to provide enough support for the argument that the political culture of an electorate in post-authoritarian competitive authoritarianism is a significant predictor of incumbent turnover via elections. Second, the analysis finds that it is rather two other factors that best determine incumbent turnover through elections. These are the freedom and fairness of elections, as well as regime capacity. The latter is best understood as the government’s capacity to abuse democratic practices in the pursuit of greater dominance vis-à-vis the opposition.

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Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen

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