Wrangling When the Wells Run Dry: A Qualitative Comparative Analysis of drought-induced political unrest in sub-Saharan Africa
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2022-06-23
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en
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As extreme weather is likely to increase due to accelerated climate change, scholars and policy makers alike are progressively worried about its security implications. My thesis contributes to this debate by analyzing the context in which droughts can lead to political unrest in sub-Saharan Africa. Political unrest is of theoretical interest, because it can be an indicator for underlying grievances, it has the ability to challenge existing political power structures and can be driver of change, and it can be a starting point for armed, violent conflicts. Despite this, however, political unrest is still understudied in environment security research. I use a Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) to integrate qualitative and quantitative data on different measurement levels for a sample of 37 cases (11 of which experienced political unrest). My findings show that the onset of drought-induced political unrest is highly dependent on a combination of specific contextual factors. This indicates that disaster-conflict links are far from deterministic.
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Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen