Means, Meters and Methods: A study on the effect of nonviolent anti-government campaign diffusion on violent and nonviolent antigovernment campaigns
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2020-08-17
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en
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Previous research has showcased how a violent anti-government campaign in one
country increases the likelihood of violent anti-government campaigns in others.
Similarly, a nonviolent anti-government campaign in one country increases the
likelihood of nonviolent anti-government campaigns other countries. Furthermore,
the lesser the distance between two countries, the greater this proposed diffusion
effect gets, i.e. the likelihood of anti-government campaign diffusion increases as
distance decreases. This research seeks to broaden the scope and not only look at
violent to violent and nonviolent to nonviolent diffusion, but looks at the effect of
nonviolent anti-government campaign diffusion on both violent and nonviolent antigovernment
campaign onset in other countries. The results we got suggest that
nonviolent anti-government campaigns do indeed increase the likelihood of both
violent and nonviolent anti-government campaigns in other countries,
strengthening the case for the diffusion theory. Furthermore, we have taken a
more detailed look at how the distance between two countries affects the
nonviolent anti-government campaign diffusion effect. It was found that the closer
two countries are to each other, the greater the diffusion effect gets. Lastly, we
have looked at some of the mechanisms of conflict escalation, mainly repression.
We found that anti-government campaigns are more likely to turn violent after a
government increases repression.
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Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen