Exploring possible improvements on likelihood weighting by omitting superfluous information and incorporating backward sampling

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2022-01-30

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en

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Since exact inference in Bayesian networks is computationally intractable, approximate inference is the more feasible approach to many problems, in theory. This research focuses on proposed enhancements, integrating backward simulation and exploiting the sufficient information theorem, of stochastic simulation methods. These proposed improvements are added to the likelihood weighting algorithm, and tested on two large benchmark networks from the bnlearn repository. Evidence is shown, that omitting superfluous information improves running time, simply because less sampling has to be performed, regardless of network structure, but does not have an effect on convergence. Results on backward simulation however, are dubious.

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Faculteit der Sociale Wetenschappen