Pipeline Blues
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2017-06-01
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en
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Abstract
The German support of Gazprom-owned pipeline project Nord Stream 2 has antagonized
many of its long-standing western allies. Opponents of the project are concerned about lost
transit revenue and increased import dependency on Russia. Even though international energy
policy has become a more salient issue, scholarly attention for the issue remains limited. The
research takes two approaches to the puzzle of the German decision: a synthesis of
neoclassical realism and mercantilism, and social constructivism. Drawing on process tracing
of the three decision-making phases, it finds that the ‘neoclassical mercantilist approach’ is
best fit to explain German support of the project. Key decision-makers largely follow a
rational analysis of threats and opportunities, in which domestic energy firms act as
intervening variables. Still, the social constructivist variables can also shed light on the
underexposed, boundedly rational factors of decision-making: the personal convictions of key
decision-makers and historically rooted discourses. As this thesis relied on literature review
only, future research on the social constructivist dimension could incorporate interviews and
surveys to more specifically examine the German perceptions of Russia. Frame analysis could
analyze historical discourses. Additionally, more attention could be devoted to the specific
interaction patterns between key-decision makers and domestic societal actors with regards to
foreign economic policy.
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Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen