The E ect of Detail on Predictive Models A search for the optimal granularity
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2020-03-01
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en
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Abstract
Predictive processing is a theory in Cognitive Neuroscience which states that informa-
tion processing in the brain is performed via predicting future inputs and comparing
them to the actual observations. Recently it has been proposed that knowing what
determines the level of detail of the predictions is important for understanding the
predictive models in our brain. For this research project, a simulation was built in
which multiple agents made predictions at di erent levels of detail. The results of this
simulation were analysed to see if an optimal level of detail could be found, where the
prediction error is low while predictions are su ciently informative. In the end the
optimum could not be determined, and it remains an open question how exactly the
brain balances expected prediction error with informativeness of predictions.
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Faculteit der Sociale Wetenschappen