Self-reinforcing effects of demographic decline. Explaining rural out-migration of older adults in Groningen
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2017-10-31
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en
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Demographic decline is generally considered to be a self-reinforcing process, because of its impact on the people in a declining locality and their likelihood of moving. However, the relationship between demographic decline and further out-migration has not yet been explored in full detail. Therefore, this thesis aims to provide new insights in the ways that demographic decline reinforces itself, by linking its consequences to elderly out-migration in the context of Groningen. Conclusions are drawn from a mixed methods approach, that combines qualitative interviews on elderly moving behavior and quantitative data on the consequences of demographic decline. Based on this study, it is argued that four processes reinforce demographic decline, because they decrease the relative attractiveness of a locality. Among these processes are the out-migration of younger generations and changes in population structure. Slightly mediating the four self-reinforcing effects is the declining housing values. This research further shows that the scope and magnitude of these processes differ, and that some of these processes are anticipated to become stronger in the future. Additionally, this research provides new insights in moving types, such as the divorce, widowhood and employment move. As such, the thesis contributes both to the academic debate and professional praxis.
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Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen