Brazilian elections and the rise of Bolsonaro

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dc.contributor.advisorRuth-Lovell, Saskia
dc.contributor.authorSchotman, Ferdinand
dc.date.issued2020-06-26
dc.description.abstractIn this thesis, I set out to identify and statistically test the core explanatory factors behind Jair Bolsonaro’s 2018 election as president of Brazil. Based on various sources on the supply of ideas and stances from Bolsonaro’s campaign, combined with articles on common sentiments among Brazilian voters and literature on the impact of different factors on vote choice, I outline four different hypotheses. Using the LAPOP 2018/2019 dataset, I develop two different models that allow me to fully test the effects of pro-army sentiments, anti-democratic sentiments, aversion against political corruption, and support for Bolsonaro’s tough stances on crime through multivariate binary logistic regression. The results indicate that only the first hypothesis concerning pro-army sentiments can be proven. These findings lead me to conclude that the current discourse on the roots of Bolsonaro’s electoral success ought to be reexamined.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://theses.ubn.ru.nl/handle/123456789/10528
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.thesis.facultyFaculteit der Managementwetenschappenen_US
dc.thesis.specialisationComparative Politicsen_US
dc.thesis.studyprogrammeMaster Political Scienceen_US
dc.thesis.typeMasteren_US
dc.titleBrazilian elections and the rise of Bolsonaroen_US
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