A grim relationship: regime instability, violence and refugees
| dc.contributor.advisor | Deemen, A. van | |
| dc.contributor.author | Romijn, Bram | |
| dc.date.issued | 2017-04-13 | |
| dc.description.abstract | The world is currently encountering one of the largest migrant crises ever. Especially Syria and Libya have been hard hit after the Arab Spring and have seen millions of their citizens flee from violence. These countries have entered civil wars after the Arab Spring, even though the Arab Spring started quite innocently with small protests. Yet, in most other countries small protests also arose but did not lead to civil wars. Thus, all countries were unstable as shown by the protests but this did not lead to violence and migration in most cases. The purpose of this study is to describe and explain these differences. The research question is therefore: What is the relationship between regime stability, violent conflict and forced migration? It will do so by means of System Dynamics, a simulation method. The study finds that this dynamic of the relationship between regime stability, violence and forced migration foremost depends on the decision of a regime whether to use their army to subdue the protests. Depending on the loyalty of the soldiers, the protests may be subdued or an armed rebellion may be started. In the last case, civil war is a given and mass migration will follow. | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://theses.ubn.ru.nl/handle/123456789/7126 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
| dc.thesis.faculty | Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen | en_US |
| dc.thesis.specialisation | Business Analysis and Modelling | en_US |
| dc.thesis.studyprogramme | Master Business Administration | en_US |
| dc.thesis.type | Master | en_US |
| dc.title | A grim relationship: regime instability, violence and refugees | en_US |
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