I’ll See It When I Believe It: Russian Foreign Policy Elite, Historical Analogies and Metaphors
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2020-06-28
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en
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Abstract
This research addresses the use of historical analogies and metaphors as the basis for foreign policy
decision-making by the Russian foreign policy elite towards the Russian intervention in Syria in 2015.
The research question of this thesis is to what extent can Russian foreign policy towards Syria in 2011 to
2015 be explained through the use of historical analogies and historical metaphors with respect to the
belief systems of the Russian foreign policy elite. The study is a single case study with empirical
materials studied in Russian. Theories used in this research are belief system theory and schema theory,
from which the concepts of consistency seeker and cognitive miser are drawn. The method for analysis is
theory-testing process tracing and qualitative content analysis. The results of the study indicate that
members of the Russian foreign policy elite cannot be classified as cognitive misers. In addition, there is
evidence suggesting that the decision-making of the Syrian intervention is based on historical analogies of
past military interventions.
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Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen