Collaborative and Anticipatory Governance in Coastal Natural Climate Buffer Projects

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2025-07-22

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en

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This thesis examines how system context and stakeholder drivers shape collaborative and anticipatory governance in Dutch coastal Natural Climate Buffer (NCB) projects, and how these dynamics enable or hinder outcomes. NCBs are promoted as nature-based solutions that enhance coastal safety and ecological resilience, yet implementation is complex, requiring long-term collaboration among diverse actors with different interests and expectations. A comparative case study of the Sand Motor, Hondsbossche Dunes, and Marconi Salt Marshes used document analysis and stakeholder interviews, applying the Collaborative Governance Framework (Emerson et al., 2011) and Anticipatory Governance Framework (Muiderman et al., 2020). Findings show that institutional complexity, ecological urgency, and shifting legal frameworks strongly shape collaboration. While interdependence and shared urgency can catalyze cooperation, durable governance structures are essential. Early co-creation, trust, and joint problem framing supported strong collaboration in the Sand Motor and Marconi, whereas delayed engagement and fragmented leadership hindered the Hondsbossche Dunes. Anticipatory tools such as scenario modelling and monitoring helped manage uncertainty but were less effective when not embedded or inclusive. The study concludes that lasting collaboration and foresight beyond implementation are vital for resilient, adaptive governance in coastal nature-based adaptation.

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Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen