Improving the cyclability in The Netherlands: How infrastructural investments can the increase the bicycle share

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This thesis investigated the effect of bicycle highways on the probability of commuting by bicycle. Bicycle highways are a recent development in bicycle infrastructure. They provide high-quality cycling connections between cities with several principles that attract commuters, such as directness, safety, and comfort. There is a scientific gap in the effect of these routes and the aim of this research is to evaluate these bicycle highways with the following research question: What is the impact of bicycle highways on the probability of commuters to cycle to work? The evaluation design in this study is known as an impact evaluation and uses a difference-in-difference design to assess the impact of the bicycle highway. The difference-in-difference design quantifies the effect of the intervention by comparing the outcome of the treatment group to the control group. This allows to make a causal claim. The results present an increase in the probability of commuting by bicycle of 3.4 percentage points after the bicycle highway is completed with a significance of 99%. This model is controlled by year and month fixed effects. These results indicate that the investments in bicycle highways lead to more commuters to cycle and, therefore, can reduce the car dependency.
Faculteit der Managementwetenschappen